Saturday, January 30, 2021

Mock Draft Roundup #12

Walterfootball Charlie (7.  QB Trey Lance - Detroit starts the rebuilding process with their quarterback of the future. The Lions could be in good position to have Trey Lance or Justin Fields fall to them.  Lance's one game of the 2020 season was a mixed outing. He missed some throws and made some mistakes, but considering the rust factor, that is somewhat understandable. Lance completed 15-of-30 passes for 149 yards with two touchdowns and an interception. He ran for 143 yards and two touchdowns on 15 carries as well. The 2019 season was Lance's first year of playing time, and he produced a huge year, completing 67 percent of his passes for 2,786 yards with 28 touchdowns and zero interceptions.  Lance is listed at 6-foot-3, 221 pounds, and sources say he has a good skill set of physical tools. In the spring of 2020, scouts told me they needed to see more from Lance and were wary of a 1-year-wonder situation, but North Dakota State had its football season canceled, other than that one game, which makes Lance a tougher and more risky evaluation for the 2021 NFL Draft.  41.  DT Levi Onwuzurike:  The Lions need more edge rushers, linebackers, and interior defensive line talent. Here's the last.  The 6-foot-3, 290-pounder is a quick gap shooter who gets penetration and is disruptive in the backfield. He is strong for his size and a tough run defender. Onwuzurike is more of a disruptor than producer in the pass rush, totaling just seven sacks over three seasons. He had 34 tackles in 2018 and 45 stops in 2019 before sitting out the 2020 season.  72.  WR Tamorrion Terry:  The Lions could lose a lot of veterans at wide receiver in free agency and might need to use some early-round picks to get Matthew Stafford some weapons.  Terry caught 23 passes for 289 yards and a touchdown in 2020 before ending his season early. He had been banged up, but that doesn't entirely excuse the big plays he left on the field due to dropped passes. Terry totaled 60 receptions for 1,188 yards and nine scores in 2019. As redshirt freshman, he made 35 receptions for 744 yards and eight touchdowns.  Entering the 2020 season team sources were high on Terry's potential with his excellent combination of size and speed. The 6-foot-4, 203-pounder is fast for a big receiver and has athleticism. He has the upside and skill set to be a good value pick on the second day of the 2021 NFL Draft.) (1-22-21):  https://walterfootball.com/draft2021charlie.php

CBS Edwards (4. QB Justin FieldsDetroit has made the decision to move on from Matthew Stafford and the heir apparent is not on the roster. They are within striking distance of landing a top quarterback in the draft but they have to be aggressive. The Lions surrender the No. 7 overall pick, a second round pick and a 2022 fourth round pick to move up for the right to select Justin Fields.) (1-28-21):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/news/2021-nfl-mock-draft-lions-falcons-trade-up-after-panthers-acquire-matthew-stafford/

Foxsports Mcintyre (7. Detroit Lions – QB Trey Lance - 2020 season stats: N/A (one exhibition game played)
2019 season stats: 2,786 passing yards, 28 passing TDs, 66.9 completion percentage; 1,100 rushing yards, 6.5 yards per carry, 14 rushing TDs.  With Matt Stafford on his way out of town, the Lions will be in the market to draft a QB. Don’t rule out Detroit's new OC Anthony Lynn making a run at his guy Tyrod Taylor to be the bridge starter.) (1-28-21):  https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/nfl-mock-draft-6-jason-mcintyre

USA Today Nate Davis (7. Detroit Lions – Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State: They're not parting with Stafford to turn the keys over to Chase Daniel or David Blough. Fields is a multi-dimensional threat who was at his best with six TD passes against Clemson in the college playoff semifinals. However that performance was bracketed by several checkered ones, including his final one against Alabama. Still, Fields' estimable potential suggests the Lions might even have to move up a few spots to get him.) (1-28-21):  https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/draft/2021/01/28/nfl-mock-draft-2021-jets-pass-qb-trevor-lawrence-penei-sewell/4286682001/

CBS Trapasso (7.  WR Ja'Marr Chase:  The Lions have to get more weapons on offense, especially with Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones and Danny Amendola bound for free agency.) (1-27-21):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/news/2021-nfl-mock-draft-matthew-stafford-traded-to-washington-as-lions-rebuild-eagles-take-qb/

Walterfootball (7.  QB Trey Lance:  The Lions and Matthew Stafford have agreed to part ways this offseason. It's a sad end to the Stafford era in Detroit. The team will need to find a replacement, so perhaps they'll talk themselves into drafting the fourth quarterback in this class.  Trey Lance has some nice physical tools, and he's coming off a huge year in 2019. For more on him, check out Charlie Campbell's entry in the NFL Hot Press.  41. CB Paulson Adebo:  The Lions have serious problems at cornerback, so they may use a second-day pick on the position.  Paulson Adebo has great size, coverage skills and play-making ability. He struggled a bit in 2019, but could rebound next year.  72. WR Marques StevensonMarvin Jones isn't expected back next year, so the Lions need a new No. 2 receiver.  Marques Stevenson has incredible speed.  102. G Ed Ingram:  The Lions could address their offensive line so that D'Andre Swift gets some great run blocking.  Ed Ingram is a tough run blocker who has displayed some athleticism.) (1-27-21):  https://walterfootball.com/draft2021.php

Draft Tek (7. QB Trey LanceIt's official. Matthew Stafford's days in Detroit are numbered. For years we've speculated if the team would ever move on from their former 1st overall pick, and post-Quinntricia regime, that speculation got even more ramped up. Those days of speculation are over and Lions' fans can breathe a breath of fresh air. The winds of change are coming.  Now that the Lions have made it clear that Stafford is on the trading block, new GM Brad Holmes and Head Coach Dan Campbell will be judged by the assets they get in return. The first step was to see if they identified an aging QB on a, as they put it, "retooling" team, was important in judging their ability to know the status of the roster. The next step, is what they receive in return and pending the return for Stafford, what will they do with the #7 overall selection?  I truly believe it will be a QB at #7. As our analysts jockey QBs in the weeks to come, it will be more clear as to which QB teams ahead of Detroit will be keying in on. Whoever becomes available for Detroit, they can not afford to skip out on a QB at #7. The best available, at least in this simulation, Trey Lance, Kyle Trask and Mac Jones.  With their pick of the litter, Lance would provide the Lions with more versatility and while I understand that some would be skeptical of Lance as he comes from a smaller school in North Dakota State (Carson Wentz alma matter), Mac Jones and Kyle Trask would be the "safe" pick as they have the perceived pedigree. Lance would be someone to provide some jolt to the offense, and his ability to extend plays only allows added opportunities for the Lions young playmakers (Swift, Golladay, Hockenson) on offense to find a way to get open and move the chains. NFL.com's Daniel Jeremiah wrote this scouting report on Lance and it's a very informative one on what kind of QB Detroit would get.  Again, no matter what QBs fall to Detroit, they will definitely have options. It's still a matter of what Detroit receives in return for Stafford that will help paint a more clear picture as to what the game plan will be.  Doug Hyde, Lions Analyst  41. WR Rondale Moore.  72.  DE Hamilcar Rashed  102. DT Jaylen Twyman.  136.  WR Tyler Vaughns) (1-27-21):  https://www.drafttek.com/2021-NFL-Draft-Team-Pages/Lions-Draft-Page.asp

CBS Wilson (7.  QB Trey Lance:  We've stayed away from mocking a quarterback to the Lions mostly because we still think Matthew Stafford can play at a high level. But with the reports that the two sides are ready to go their separate ways, it's time. New coach Dan Campbell gets Lance, a strong-armed passer with tons of upside who will likely need a year to grow into the job.) (1-26-21):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/news/2021-nfl-mock-draft-lions-replace-matthew-stafford-broncos-also-grab-qb-49ers-land-best-receiver-in-class/

Detroit Lions take Ohio State QB Justin Fields in Mel Kiper’s first mock draft (1-26-21):  https://www.mlive.com/lions/2021/01/detroit-lions-take-ohio-state-qb-justin-fields-in-mel-kipers-first-mock-draft.html

PFF Palazzolo (7. DETROIT LIONS: QB TREY LANCE, NORTH DAKOTA STATE:  With the news that QB Matthew Stafford will not be returning to Detroit and new head coach Dan Campbell recently signed a six-year contract, the Lions are in full rebuild mode. Lance is the best option for that scenario; he’s as talented as it gets, but time is likely needed given that he has just one full year of experience at the FCS level. Lance graded at 90.7 as a redshirt freshman in 2019 before a mediocre “showcase” game in 2020. He has a cannon and rushing ability to tap into, while the Lions have the time to allow Lance to reach his potential.) (1-25-21):  https://www.pff.com/news/draft-2021-nfl-mock-draft-new-york-jets-qb-zach-wilson-cincinnati-bengals-wr-jamarr-chase

SN (7. Detroit Lions (5-11) - LB Micah Parsons:  The Lions were a mess defensively under now fired Matt Patricia and need someone to dominate against run and pass on the second level. They can get a rangy playmaker in Parsons, going for matching value with need vs. going wide receiver. Parsons is a hard-tackling and well-covering cleanup man in the Luke Kuechly game-changing mold.) (1-25-21):   https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/news/nfl-mock-draft-2021-jets-falcons-saints-browns/1dts7z9etavj91ethdlaatpj2a

O'Hara (My Pick: LB Micah Parsons, Penn State.:  Listed at 6-3, 246, he has good size for the position. He's another one of the top players who opted out of the 2020 season. Before that, he put together a good resume as a two-year player, with a big 2019 season: 13 games, 109 tackles, 14 tackles for loss, five sacks, five passes defensed and four forced fumbles.  The Lions have had modest results drafting linebackers early in the last four seasons: Jarrad Davis in the first round in 2017 and Jahlani Tavai in the second in 2019.  The Lions might change their luck with Parsons.) (1-25-21):  https://www.detroitlions.com/news/o-hara-s-mock-7-the-first-prediction-parsons-smith-wilson

Tankathon (7.  LB Micah Parsons.  41.  DE Azeez Ojulari.  72. WR Seth Williams) (1-24-21):

NFL.com Daniel Jeremiah (7. WR Devonta Smith:  If the Lions are going to keep Matthew Stafford, they would have a prime opportunity to sell this selection to a QB-needy team. If they stick and pick, Smith will be an immediate-impact player on the outside.  21. DE Kwity Paye:  I believe the Colts are the most likely landing spot for Matthew Stafford in a trade, so they make the move to get a replacement for Philip Rivers in this scenario. The Lions got their QB at No. 7 overall, but they still need to address the pass rush. Paye is one of the more dynamic athletes in the draft. ) (1-22-21):  https://www.nfl.com/news/daniel-jeremiah-2021-nfl-mock-draft-1-0-zach-wilson-to-jets

Athlon Sports (7. Detroit Lions — Zach Wilson, QB, BYU:  It will be a new era in Detroit from ownership on down and what better way to make a clean break with the past than also selecting a QB of the future. The new front office can help rebuild the right way with a rookie under center and apparent new head coach Dan Campbell will be thrilled at Wilson's competitiveness and ability to make throws all at all angles.) (1-19-21):  https://athlonsports.com/nfl/2021-nfl-mock-draft-first-round-predictions-updated-early-entry-deadline

PFF Galina (7. DETROIT LIONS: DI CHRISTIAN BARMORE, ALABAMA:  Ok, hear me out! New general manager Brad Holmes comes from the Rams, where he played a big role in drafting Aaron Donald. Christian Barmore is the first of a long line of future interior defensive linemen who have caught “Donald Fever” and try to mold their game after him.  Barmore is so nimble for a big man it’s incredible. He showed out on limited snaps in 2019, and while he probably didn’t play at his absolute best throughout the whole regular season, he was back to being his dominant self when the College Football Playoffs rolled around, earning a 91.3 pass-rush grade over the final two games of his championship-winning season. It’s not as if the Lions don’t need pass rush, either.) (1-18-21):  https://www.pff.com/news/draft-2021-nfl-mock-draft-justin-fields-goes-to-jacksonville-at-no-1-miami-picks-devonta-smith-lands-at-no-3

PFF Treash (7. DETROIT LIONS: WR JAYLEN WADDLE, ALABAMA:  Detroit is in a tough spot with wide receivers Kenny Golladay, Marvin Jones Jr. and Danny Amendola all slated to hit free agency. The good news is that they are in a position to grab one of the most electric wide receivers college football has ever seen.  Waddle missed most of the 2020 season due to a fractured ankle, but the Bama receiver was truly an explosive play waiting to happen in the four games he appeared in. He generated a Power 5-best 4.68 yards per route run, averaged 10.7 yards after the catch, teamed up for a perfect passer rating of 158.3 on his 29 targets and hauled in 329 deep receiving yards. The latter still ranks 13th among all Power 5 receivers despite appearing just four times all year.  Waddle reportedly ran a 4.37 40-yard dash coming out of high school. He is a threat to house it anytime he gets the ball with that speed and explosiveness.) (1-11-21):  https://www.pff.com/news/draft-2021-nfl-mock-draft-dolphins-select-qb-justin-fields-with-pick-no-3-49ers-send-pick-no-12-to-miami-for-qb-tua-tagovailoa

PFN's Cummings Lions Pre-Senior Bowl 7-Round 2021 NFL Mock Draft (7. Justin Fields, QB, Ohio State.  41.  Rondale Moore, WR, Purdue.  72.  Jabril Cox, LB, LSU.  102.  Dayo Odeyingbo, DL, Vanderbilt.  136. Ifeatu Melifonwu, CB, Syracuse) (1-6-21):  https://www.profootballnetwork.com/lions-7-round-2021-nfl-mock-draft-pre-senior-bowl

USA Today Middle-Hurst Schwartz (7. Lions — Micah Parsons, LB, PSU:  Where does Detroit start with overhauling a defense that ranked last in yards and points allowed? Given the Lions' modest cap space before addressing wide receiver Kenny Golladay, investing early and often in the draft has to be a priority. Parsons has a strong claim to the title of the draft's most explosive defender, and he's a standout in almost any assignment.) (1-5-21):  https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/draft/2021/01/05/nfl-mock-draft-2021-justin-fields-trevor-lawrence-first-round/4137849001/

Radio.com (7. Detroit Lions: Micah Parsons - Linebacker, Penn State:  Both Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones can become free agents this offseason, and it's unclear how the Lions will proceed with quarterback Matthew Stafford. Essentially, the next general manager in Detroit will be inheriting a situation that's a total rebuild. Linebacker is one of the many positions of need, and prior to opting out of his junior season at Penn State, Parsons had 14 tackles for a loss, five sacks and four forced fumbles in 2019.) (1-5-21):  https://www.radio.com/971theticket/sports/detroit-lions/gallery/2021-nfl-mock-draft-it-all-starts-at-pick-no-3

PFF Renner (7. DE Kwity Paye:  While the Lions have some young pieces to build around defensively, they still don’t have one true difference-maker. Paye has the type of physical tools to be that guy. With 22 pressures in four games this season, he showed he’s much closer to realizing that potential than previously thought.) (1-4-21):  https://www.pff.com/news/draft-2021-nfl-mock-draft-zach-wilson-new-york-jets-san-francisco-49ers-move-up-justin-fields

Draftwire (7. Lions - QB Justin Fields.  42. WR Amon-Ra St. Brown) (12-31-20):  https://draftwire.usatoday.com/gallery/nfl-mock-draft-2021-2-rounds-trevor-lawrence-zach-wilson-justin-fields-trey-lance/

Touchdown Wire Schoefield (7.  Detroit Lions: DeVonta Smith, WR, Alabama:  If you are going to break the mold in the Top Ten of the NFL draft, you better do it for a complete game-changer.  DeVonta Smith is that type of player.  Smith is undersized for the wide receiver position by many standards, as he is listed at 6-foot-1 and 175 pounds, and as you can tell from the above picture, he is what some might consider “slender” for the NFL. But Smith makes up for that with game-breaking ability as a receiver. Last year he was playing in the shadow of Henry Ruggs III and Jerry Jeudy – as well as current teammate Jayden Waddle – but this year was his breakout campaign as he caught 17 touchdowns and 98 passes in the regular season alone. With the Lions facing decisions on Kenny Golladay and Marvin Jones, Smith is a nice find in the first round.) (12-31-20):  https://touchdownwire.usatoday.com/lists/touchdown-wire-mock-draft-1-0-trevor-lawrence-justin-fields-zach-wilson-jamarr-chase/

PFF Gayle (7. DETROIT LIONS: WR DEVONTA SMITH, ALABAMA:  Even if the Lions re-sign soon-to-be unrestricted free agents Kenny Golladay (27), Marvin Jones (31) and/or Danny Amendola (35), the team still needs more talent at wide receiver. Smith should finish the year with the highest single-season receiving grade in the PFF College era (2014-20) and currently ranks 12th overall on PFF’s 2021 NFL Draft Board.) (12-29-20):  https://www.pff.com/news/draft-2021-nfl-mock-draft-justin-fields-atlanta-falcons-jaylen-waddle-philadelphia-eagles-first-round-wr-green-bay-packers

NFL RealGM (11. Detroit Lions: Trey Lance, QB, North Dakota State. If the new regime wants to hedge their bets away from Matthew Stafford long-term, taking a developmental project like Lance here makes sense. Lance has arm strength to spare but his accuracy and ability to read the field need ample work before he’s ready to play in the NFL.) (12-23-20):  https://football.realgm.com/analysis/3334/2021-NFL-Mock-Draft-Christmas-Edition

Yahoo (11. Detroit Lions - Alabama WR Jaylen Waddle:  Here’s another “who will be GM and head coach?” situation. Also, is Matthew Stafford in the picture? If the Lions end up being bent on trading him amid a rebuild, that would dramatically change this scenario.  Almost certainly, wide receiver is an area of concern. Kenny Golladay is a pending free agent whose price tag could be massive. Marvin Jones is, too. It’s almost certain at least one of them won’t be back.  Watch Nick Saban somehow convince Waddle, who is out for the season with an ankle injury, to come back to Bama in 2021. He did it with DeVonta Smith.  But in this scenario, he’d step into a big role for the Lions and be a blur on that Ford Field turf.) (12-17-20):  https://sports.yahoo.com/2021-nfl-mock-draft-4-quarterbacks-go-in-top-7-overall-picks-140635174.html

PFN Tony Pauline (9. Detroit Lions: Rashod Bateman, WR, Minnesota:   The Lions have several good receivers but no true No. 1. Rashod Bateman solves that problem.) (12-2-20):  https://www.profootballnetwork.com/2021-nfl-mock-draft-tony-pauline-december/

Round 1 Picks (12 QB, 8 WR, 6 LB, 1 DE, 1 DT):

7 QB Trey Lance
5 QB Justin Fields
5 LB Micah Parsons
3 WR Devonta Smith
2 WR Ja'Marr Chase
2 WR Jaylen Waddle
1 QB Zach Wilson
1 WR Rashod Bateman
1 DE Kwity Paye
1 DT Christian Barmore

Round 1 Trade (1 DE):

1 DE Kwity Paye

Round 2 Picks (2 WR, 1 DT, 1 DE, 1 CB):

2 WR Rondale Moore
1 WR Amon-Ra St. Brown
1 DT Levi Onwuzurike
1 CB Paulson Adebo
1 DE Azeez Ojulari

Round 3: (3 WR, 1 LB, 1 DE):

1 WR Marques Stevenson
WR Tamorrion Terry
1 WR Seth Williams
1 DE Hamilcar Rashed
1 LB Jabril Cox

Round 4 (1 QB, 1 DT, 1 DE, 1 G):

1 QB Jamie Newman
1 DE Dayo Odeyingbo
1 DT Jaylen Twyman
1 G Ed Ingram

Round 5 (1 WR, 1 CB):

1 WR Tyler Vaughns
1 CB Ifeatu Melifonwu


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