The Big Lead (LIONS (-6.5) over SEAHAWKS: This line feels awfully high for a Lions team that lost in a very Lions fashion to Minnesota last week. And the Seahawks, while not a good team, have displayed lengthy stretches of average football so far this year. Yet the Lions have been our most consistent pick all season long and we'd be remiss to not quadruple down on them in Week 4. Lions 31, Seahawks 23): https://www.thebiglead.com/posts/nfl-week-4-predictions-picks-spread-lines-01gdx0y38a58
SN Bender (Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions (-6.5):
Detroit is a favorite for the first time in 20 games under Dan Campbell, which is a testament to the improvement, even if Detroit remains a work-in-progress. The Lions average 31.7 points per game – and that simply is too much for a Seahawks' team that is at 15.7 points per game with Geno Smith at quarterback. Pick: Lions 30, Seahawks 22): https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/news/nfl-picks-predictions-week-4/logqby2hjixvwvs4gsxyuerv
CBS Sullivan (Seahawks at Lions: The Lions have been a fantastic bet under head coach Dan Campbell. Throughout his tenure dating back to last season, Detroit has covered 70% of its games and is 3-0 ATS to begin the 2022 campaign. The Lions play each opponent tough and probably should have pulled out a win last week in Minnesota. This week, they get an easier opponent in the Seahawks, who are 0-2 after upsetting the Broncos in an emotional Week 1 matchup at home. Even with star running back D'Andre Swift possibly not playing in this game due to injury, there is a clear mismatch between Detroit's offense and Seattle's defense. The Lions offense ranks seventh in the league in DVOA, while the Seahawks defense ranks 30th in the NFL. Detroit's defense hasn't been anything to write home about, either, but its offensive ceiling is higher in my eyes than what the Seahawks will be bringing to Ford Field. Projected score: Lions 27, Seahawks 21): https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-4-odds-picks-eagles-slow-down-surging-jaguars-bills-cover-on-the-road-in-baltimore/
NFL.com (Lions win 24-23: D'Andre Swift is expected to miss this game. If Amon-Ra St. Brown is out too, in addition to the Lions' offensive line injuries, the Seahawks' defense has a chance to keep this close. Otherwise it's hard to trust Seattle in any week because Pete Carroll's crew is wasting the best version of Geno Smith with a defense that ranks in the bottom two in the league at plays and yards allowed per drive despite not having a tough schedule so far. More than half of the Lions' offensive starters missed practice on Wednesday, so availability will be key to watch.): https://www.nfl.com/news/week-4-nfl-game-picks-2022-nfl-season
Fox sports (Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions (1 p.m. ET, FOX) - Overview: The poor Lions. Even when they're good, they lose. Yes, I just said the Lions are good. They're averaging the second-most points per game with 31.7 and yet are only 1-2. They sit in last place of a division where the teams in a three-way tie for first place are averaging 19.3, 17.3 and 16.0 PPG. I'll let you figure out the order there. The Lions' top receiver, slot gawd Amon-Ra St. Brown, has at least six receptions in his past nine games, which is the longest active streak in the NFL. Behind the third-best rushing attack in the league, Detroit is averaging the third-most yards per game overall. And yet … the Lions still can't manage to outscore what their defense is letting up. The Lions are giving up the fifth-most yards per game at 408. They're allowing the most first downs per game in the league at 26 and the most points, edging out their offensive scoring average by .3 with an average of 32 points per game. The good news for Detroit is that the Seattle Seahawks, led by quarterback Geno Smith, aren't exactly world-beaters this year. They are averaging just 15.7 points per game, even with both receivers DK Metcalf and Tyler Lockett at their disposal. Metcalf, who recently became one of the highest-paid receivers in the league, just scored his first receiving touchdown of the season last week. Lockett, who leads the team in receiving yards through three games, hasn't seen the end zone yet. Matchup to watch: Lions RB Jamaal Williams vs. Seahawks LB Jordyn Brooksm. D'Andre Swift will likely be out as he nurses a shoulder injury, but Williams picked up the slack last week against Minnesota. Williams finished with 107 total scrimmage yards and two rushing touchdowns. He should be able to have a repeat performance against a Seahawks defense that is struggling this season, unless Brooks has something to say about it. Key stats: The Lions lead the NFL in yards per rushing attempt (5.9) and rank second in scoring offense (31.7 points per game), while the Seahawks are tied for 30th in rushing defense, allowing 157.0 rushing yards per game. Prediction: I think this presents an opportunity for Detroit to get to .500 against an NFC opponent, and the Lions do so with a definitive win. Lions 38, Seahawks 17 — Carmen Vitali): https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/nfl-week-4-preview-schedule-analysis-matchups-and-picks-for-every-game
PFT’s Week 4 2022 NFL Picks (Seahawks (+4.5) at Lions - MDS’s take: Geno Smith has exceeded expectations this season and should put up good numbers against a suspect Lions defense, but the Lions’ big-play offense will put plenty of points on the board as well. MDS’s pick: Lions 31, Seahawks 28. Florio’s take: The Seahawks simply don’t have the horses to avoid losing their third in a row. Florio’s pick: Lions 23, Seahawks 20.): https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2022/09/29/nfl-week-4-2022-picks/
Football Meteorology For 2022 NFL Week 4 (Seattle Seahawks at Detroit Lions (+5.5): The Lions are 2nd in scoring and first in points allowed. The Seahawks are 20th in points allowed but 28th in scoring. Detroit has major injury issues--10 starters missed practice on Wednesday--but the Lions firepower should be enough to carry the home team to a win. This is the most points Detroit has been favored by since 2016. Lions 33, Seahawks 28): https://football.realgm.com/analysis/3483/Football-Meteorology-For-2022-NFL-Week-4
Non-Score Picks:
Note: I still have more to add.
