Tuesday, September 14, 2021

Morning Lions Links for Tuesday 9-14-21

Articles:

KEY QUESTIONS: Will Sewell move back to right tackle when Decker returns?:  https://www.detroitlions.com/news/key-questions-will-sewell-move-back-to-right-tackle-when-decker-returns

Campbell confirms season-ending Achilles injury for Okudah:  https://www.detroitlions.com/news/campbell-confirms-season-ending-achilles-injury-for-okudah

Lions turning to rookie CB Ifeati Melifonwu in Green Bay, expected to sign another defensive back too:  https://www.mlive.com/lions/2021/09/detroit-lions-turning-to-rookie-cb-ifeati-melifonwu-in-green-bay-expected-to-sign-another-defensive-back-too.html

Lions not discussing future plans with Penei Sewell at left tackle until Taylor Decker returns:  https://www.mlive.com/lions/2021/09/lions-not-discussing-future-plans-with-penei-sewell-at-left-tackle-until-taylor-decker-returns.html

Top Detroit Lions receiver Tyrell Williams suffers brain injury:  https://www.mlive.com/lions/2021/09/top-detroit-lions-receiver-tyrell-williams-suffers-brain-injury.html




Penei Sewell not pleased with impressive NFL debut: ‘I’ve got to win every rep’:  https://www.prideofdetroit.com/2021/9/13/22671859/penei-sewell-not-pleased-impressive-nfl-debut-nick-bosa-win-every-rep

NFL Week 1 Team of the Week & Awards (Ragnow made the team):  https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-week-1-team-of-the-week-awards-key-takeaways-2021

Week 1's biggest fourth-down decisions: Lions get bold, Cowboys play it safe (49ERS 41, LIONS 33: Dan Campbell keeps it close
Campbell's "bite a kneecap off" mentality apparently translated to his decision-making on the field in his head-coaching debut. The Lions' coach got nine of his 10 fourth-down decisions right, according to the NGS Decision Guide, missing only a toss-up go for it recommendation (favored by 0.1 percent) on fourth-and-14 from the Niners' 47 while down 21 points in the third quarter. Campbell's approach marks a real change in the Motor City, where his predecessor, Matt Patricia, followed the model's strong go for it recommendations on just 38 percent of opportunities during his tenure. This could also be a sign of Big Data Bowl finalist Caio Brighenti's growing role in the organization, as the Lions devote more resources to their analytics staff.  FIRST QUARTER: With 12:06 remaining and the Lions (no score) facing fourth-and-2 from the Niners' 35-yard line, Detroit's Jamaal Williams fails to run for a first down.  As a heavy underdog in his first game, Campbell elected to go for it in both fourth-down situations where it was recommended on his first two drives. Campbell had a 57 percent chance of converting on this one, and although the play was unsuccessful, our model agreed with the decision (by 0.6 percent effect on win probability).   FIRST QUARTER: With 0:10 remaining and the Lions (trailing 7-0) facing fourth-and-1 from the Niners' 17-yard line, Detroit's Jared Goff completes a 7-yard pass to Tyrell Williams for the first down.  Detroit's earlier failure did not affect Campbell's decision here, which the NGS Decision Guide once again agreed with, this time by a 1.4 percent increase in win probability value. The Lions would go on to score three plays later, tying the game at 7. And while the game got away from them for awhile (San Francisco led 38-10 midway through the third quarter), they did manage to claw their way back from that deficit to get within one score. Note that when Detroit had a win probability higher than 10 percent (in non-obvious go for it situations), Campbell got all four of his fourth-down decisions right.):  https://www.nfl.com/news/week-1-s-biggest-fourth-down-decisions-lions-get-bold-cowboys-play-it-safe


$.10 After 2021 NFL Week 1 ($.07--Lots of rookies took some lumps in the preseason. Two very prominent ones, Ja’Marr Chase and Penei Sewell, had very publicly poor preseasons that had fans of the Bengals and Lions, respectively, freaking out about their top-10 overall investments.  If you needed any more validation that preseason means as much as the extended warranty on a toothbrush, what Chase and Sewell did in Week 1 should end it. Both were very good when the game outcome actually mattered despite having regrettable summers.  Chase dropped more preseason passes than he caught in Cincinnati. On Sunday, nobody in a Bengals uniform caught more than Chase, who posted 5 receptions on 7 targets for 101 yards and a TD in the Bengals overtime win over Minnesota. This looks like the handiwork worthy of a No. 5 overall pick.  Sewell had some very rough moments at right tackle in the preseason. It was understandable for a 20-year-old who had only played left tackle and hadn’t even practiced in over 18 months when the Lions tabbed him with the No. 7 pick. An injury to Taylor Decker forced Sewell back to left tackle. Facing off primarily against Nick Bosa, Sewell played very well. He got beaten twice by my count, both times on the inside moves that gave him issues on the right side. Given the context of the game, Sewell’s performance was very good.  All the consternation, all the frantic panic from fans all summer, and the rookies nailed it when it mattered. That’s not to say Chase and Sewell will play great all season. They’re going to have some down games, no doubt about it. Hopefully, the perspective sinks in that fans shouldn’t throw out the baby with the bathwater before they even turn the faucet on to fill the tub.):  https://football.realgm.com/analysis/3369/$10-After-2021-NFL-Week-1

2022 NFL Draft:

2022 NFL Draft Big Board: Top 50 prospect rankings heading into 2021 CFB season:  https://www.profootballnetwork.com/2022-nfl-draft-big-board-top-50-prospects-w0/

College Football Recap Week 2: Oregon and Iowa stake early claim for playoff place:  https://www.profootballnetwork.com/college-football-recap-week-2-oregon-iowa-cfbwk2/

Who is QB1 in the 2022 NFL Draft? Is Malik Willis closing in?:  https://www.profootballnetwork.com/who-is-qb1-2022-nfl-draft-2021-cfbwk-1/


How 2022 NFL Draft prospects fared: Aidan Hutchinson cruises past Jaxson Kirkland in marquee battle:  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/draft/news/how-2022-nfl-draft-prospects-fared-aidan-hutchinson-cruises-past-jaxson-kirkland-in-marquee-battle/


2022 NFL draft: Quarterback prospect power rankings, Week 3:  https://sports.yahoo.com/2022-nfl-draft-qb-prospect-power-rankings-week-3-211244499.html


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