Saturday, December 10, 2022

Week 14 Predictions

Big lead NFL Week 14 Predictions and Picks Against the Spread (LIONS (+1) over VIKINGS:  In a stunning move, oddsmakers have shown proper respect and deference to a team that's won four of five and should have beaten Minnesota the last time. Jared Goff has a new lease on life and the defense has fixed myriad issues in a short period of time. What the hell is going on? Let's not question it but instead continue the lucrative tradition of picking the Fighting Dan Campbells each and every week. Lions 26, Vikings 21):  https://www.thebiglead.com/posts/nfl-week-14-predictions-picks-spread-lines-01gkhjntbh2f

CBS Breech (Minnesota (10-2) at Detroit (5-7):  When two division rivals play each other for the second time in a season, I usually throw the results of the first game out the window, but I'm writing this pick from a windowless closet, so I can't do that, which is probably for the best, because I think that first game gives us a small hint of what's going to happen this time around.  In that first game, the Lions jumped out to a 14-0 lead before doing what you would expect the Lions to do in that situation: Fully imploding and losing. The Lions shot themselves in the foot so many times in that game that you'd think they would've have run out of bullets or even feet, but nope, they just kept doing it.   They missed two field goals in the first game, they had two failed fourth downs and Jared Goff threw an interception in the final minute that iced the game. No one is better at giving away games than the Lions and it really felt like they gave away the first game. However, that was the old Lions. Now, the Vikings will be dealing with the new Lions, who are suddenly one of the hottest teams in the NFL.  The new Lions don't blow games, unless you count the Buffalo loss on Thanksgiving. OK, the new Lions do blow games, but not as often as the old Lions.  The last four games between these two teams have been decided by average 2.5 points per game, so I fully expect things to get crazy once again on Sunday and crazy would be the Lions actually holding on to beat a good team at home. So yes, I'm picking the Lions here, but that's arguably a good thing for the Vikings since I've whiffed on four straight games involving Minnesota. I need this streak to end. Don't let me down Lions.  I think we might see a shootout here and that's because we have the the team that's given up the most points in the NFL this year (Lions) going up against the team that's surrendering the most passing yards per game (Vikings).  The pick: Lions 34-31 over Vikings):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-14-picks-tom-brady-leads-buccaneers-to-upset-of-49ers-chargers-shock-dolphins-lions-beat-vikings/

Walter football (Week 14 NFL Pick: Lions 30, Vikings 24):  https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2022_14early.php

CBS Prisco (Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (-2.5): This is actually a good game with both teams coming off impressive victories last week. The Vikings are a shoo-in to win the division, but the Lions are alive for a wild card spot. The Lions offense will present big problems for a Vikings defense that hasn't played that well. Lions win it behind Jared Goff.  Pick: Lions 31, Vikings 28):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/priscos-week-14-nfl-picks-brock-purdy-lifts-49ers-over-buccaneers-chargers-upset-dolphins-bills-blast-jets/


AP Pro Maaddi (Minnesota (plus 2 1/2) at Detroit:  The level of disrespect the Vikings (10-2) receive from oddsmakers is astonishing. Minnesota is clearly a far better team than the Lions (5-7), but this line sways the pick.  LIONS, 27-23):  https://pro32.ap.org/article/pro-picks-sees-rams-making-history-kick-week-14

O'HARA'S WEEK 14 PREVIEW: Lions expecting an electric atmosphere at Ford Field Sunday (My pick: Lions 30, Vikings 16.): https://www.detroitlions.com/news/lions-expecting-an-electric-atmosphere-at-ford-field-stbrown-campbell

Vikings look to clinch division vs. Lions, but Detroit is no pushover (Lions 38, Vikings 34):  https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/vikings-look-to-clinch-division-vs-lions-but-not-so-fast

NFL.com (Lions 27-24:  As an inveterate Lions backer over the last month, it is a little concerning to see everyone else agree. Winners of four of the last five, Detroit has gone from underdog to favorite in this matchup since Sunday, despite having been a home 'dog to then-4-7 Jacksonville at publishing last week! All the sudden Lions love does make sense, though. The defense is playing with incredible energy, and that unit only needs to be average with coordinator Ben Johnson drawing up beautiful game plans for a Lions offense that is finally healthy. Jared Goff eats against zone defenses like the one the Vikings play.):  https://www.nfl.com/news/week-14-nfl-game-picks-2022-nfl-season


PFN Yates (Vikings vs. Lions Prediction - Vikings 27, Lions 28):  https://www.profootballnetwork.com/vikings-vs-lions-prediction-odds-pick-nfl-betting-week-14-2022/

Five things to watch as favored Lions face Vikings; plus, prediction (PREDICTION: Lions 28, Vikings 24):  https://lionslowdown.com/2022/12/11/five-things-to-watch-as-favored-lions-face-vikings-plus-prediction/

PFT’s NFL Week 14 2022 Picks (Vikings (+2.5) at Lions - MDS’s take: It might look a little strange that the 5-7 Lions are favored over the 10-2 Vikings, but it makes sense given how well the Lions have been playing lately. They’ll win this one.  MDS’s pick: Lions 24, Vikings 20.  Florio’s take: Nothing gets a 10-2 team more focused and motivated than being a 2.5-point underdog against a team that started the year 1-6.  Florio’s pick: Vikings 30, Lions 27.):  https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2022/12/08/pfts-nfl-week-14-2022-picks/

NFL.com (5 pick the Lions to win by scores of 30-27, 24-23, 34-30, 28-27, 20-17.  5 pick the Vikings to win by scores of 27-21, 31-28, 40-38, 27-24, 28-27):  https://www.nfl.com/videos/vikings-vs-lions-preview-week-14

SI Predictions: Lions vs. Vikings (2 pick the Lions to win by scores of 24-21, 27-24.  2 pick the Vikings to win by scores of 35-31, 31-28):  https://www.si.com/nfl/lions/news/predictions-lions-vs-vikings

PFN (Predictions:  Beasley: Lions 27, Vikings 26; Miller: Vikings 27, Lions 25; Robinson: Vikings 29, Lions 27):  https://www.profootballnetwork.com/nfl-picks-predictions-lock-upset-week-14-2022/

USA Today (4 pick the Vikings to win by scores of 31-30, 23-20, 27-21, 23-20.  2 pick the Lions to win by scores of 35-31,34-31):  https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl-picks/2022/12/08/nfl-picks-week-14-spreads-locks-afc-nfc-dolphins-chargers/10859897002/

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions: Predictions, picks and odds for NFL Week 14 matchup (Richard Morin: Vikings 35, Lions 31 - How about the Lions finding themselves favored over the two-loss Vikings? But I'm not as convinced as the oddsmakers. I am wary of rookie receiver Williams against a beatable Vikings secondary, but I've got Minnesota pulling through in a high-scoring affair.Lance Pugmire: Lions 30, Vikings 27 - The oddsmakers foresee the continued rise of Detroit, establishing the Lions as a 2.5-point favorite in a compelling NFC North matchup that has also been tagged with the week’s highest total (52.5).):  https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/2022/12/08/minnesota-vikings-detroit-lions-predictions-picks-odds-nfl-week-14/10841815002/

SN Iyer (Vikings at Lions (-1, 53.5):  Just like the Vikings were disrespected against the Jets at home last week, there's bound to be buzz about them falling to the Lions after the first game at home was so nip-and-tuck. That also would play into the narrative of Detroit being a darling darkhorse in the NFC playoff race as a win would keep it alive to win the North ahead of Minnesota. But the Vikings also hear that noise and will realize they can control this game offensively and defensively with more key talent, experience and better coaching, Congrats to the Vikings clinching the division crown directly on the field.  Pick: Vikings win 27-24.):  https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/news/nfl-picks-predictions-against-spread-week-14/eqb2ojses6heio1regjck7a1

SN Bender (Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (-1):  The Lions are favored; a nod to the improvement under second-year coach Dan Campbell. The last three games between the teams have been decided by a combined total of eight points, and Detroit won at Ford Field last season. Still, there's value in the underdog here. The Vikings are 9-0 in games decided by eight points or less. The Lions are 2-5 in the same situation.   Pick: Vikings 30, Lions 27):  https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/news/nfl-picks-predictions-week-14/fsmlfoqy9mxznvhny2i1797j

SN Piva Vikings vs. Lions odds, prediction, betting tips for Week 14 divisional clash with second-highest over/under of the season (PREDICTION: Vikings 27, Lions 23. Minnesota wins straight up (+115, +2.5) and the game goes UNDER (53), equally disappointing Detroit fans and OVER bettors.):  https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/news/vikings-lions-odds-prediction-betting-tips-week-14-over-under/rtxxkhe4nf6fqtup3nfkvsbv

Football Meteorology For NFL Week 14 (Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (-2): Wait, the 5-7 Lions are favored over the 10-2 Vikings? Am I taking crazy pills here!?  Well, it’s not so crazy considering how well the Lions defense has played lately. Since firing DBs coach Aubrey Pleasant and getting starting outside CB Jerry Jacobs and rookie DE Josh Paschal healthy, the precocious Lions have a top-10 overall defense. The last four games between these two NFC North rivals have been decided by a total of 10 points. That means a close game. No team is better at winning close games than Minnesota; it’s what they do this year. But can that absurd level of success keep going? It will take Detroit’s defense creating a takeaway or two more than their Minnesota counterparts. Vikings 24, Lions 21):  https://football.realgm.com/analysis/3524/Football-Meteorology-For-NFL-Week-14

CBS Dajani (Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (-2.5):  The result of this best bet is going to tell me a lot. I feel like I'm in the minority in believing the Lions still aren't that incredible. I watched them squeak by the Chicago Bears, trounce the Giants, give the Buffalo Bills a game on Thanksgiving and then blow out the Jaguars. I agree, Detroit has a solid offense. But do the Lions deserve to be favorites against one of the two double-digit win teams in the NFL?  This bet is more about the Vikings than it is the Lions. Minnesota's win over the New York Jets last week was pretty fascinating to me, because it was the defense that propelled the Vikings to victory. The Vikings picked off Mike White twice, and held the Jets to just 1 of 6 in the red zone. This defense was asked to come through in the red zone twice in the span of a few minutes late in the fourth quarter. They held the Jets out of the end zone after White had three plays to convert from the 1-yard line, and then picked off the quarterback at the 1-yard line minutes later as he tried to lead a game-winning drive. If this Vikings defense is preparing to play its best ball, that would be huge.   Projected score: Vikings 28-25):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-14-picks-best-bets-burrows-bengals-destroy-browns-vikings-upset-lions/

ESPN - What to know for NFL Week 14: Score picks, bold predictions, fantasy tips, key stats for every game (Moody's pick: Vikings 30, Lions 27; Walder's pick: Vikings 27, Lions 20):  https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/35212633/nfl-week-14-game-picks-schedule-guide-fantasy-football-tips-odds-injuries-stats-know#mindet

Game Theory: Week 14 win probabilities and score projections for the '22 season (Vikings win 28-27):  https://www.nfl.com/videos/game-theory-week-14-win-probabilities-and-score-projections-for-the-22-season

Minnesota Vikings vs. Detroit Lions Prediction: NFC North Rivals Clash in the Motor City (Prediction: Vikings 24, Lions 21):  https://athlonsports.com/nfl/minnesota-vikings-vs-detroit-lions-prediction-picks-2022

Vikings wire (Both pick the Vikings to win by scores of 38-34, 24-17):  https://vikingswire.usatoday.com/lists/vikings-lions-preview-prediction-justin-jefferson-jared-goff/

Sportsbook Wire - Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions odds, picks and predictions (Prediction - Vikings 30, Lions 24):   https://sportsbookwire.usatoday.com/2022/12/10/minnesota-vikings-at-detroit-lions-odds-picks-and-predictions/

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions Prediction Game Preview (Minnesota 27, Detroit 24):  https://collegefootballnews.com/2022/12/minnesota-vikings-at-detroit-lions-prediction-game-preview-odds-tv

Non-Score Picks:

CBS (5 pick the Lions to win.  1 picks the Vikings to win):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/picks/experts/straight-up/14/

SI (4 pick the Lions to win.  1 picks the Vikings):  https://www.si.com/nfl/2022/12/08/nfl-week-14-staff-expert-picks

FTW (2 pick the Lions to win.  1 picks the Vikings to win):  https://ftw.usatoday.com/lists/nfl-picks-week-14-raiders-rams-vikings-lions

CFN (8 pick the Vikings to win.  5 pick the Lions to win):  https://collegefootballnews.com/2022/12/nfl-expert-picks-predictions-odds-week-14/5

ESPN (5 pick the Vikings to win and 2 pick the Lions to win):  https://www.espn.com/nfl/picks

Athlon sports (All 4 pick the Vikings to win.):  https://athlonsports.com/nfl/nfl-week-14-picks-predictions-2022

46 pick the Vikings to win.  44 pick the Lions to win.  The Average Predicted Score is (1500-1495/55):  Vikings 28 Lions 27


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