Friday, September 16, 2022

Week 2 Predictions

SN Iyer (Commanders at Lions (-2.5, 49 o/u):  Carson Wentz and Jared Goff always will be connected by the top of the 2016 NFL draft. Wentz sparked his third NFL team to victory with late heroics against the Jaguars, while Goff saw a furious rally get dashed in the fourth quarter against the Eagles. Much like Panthers-Giants, these teams are meant to be even in the standings. Neither defense will slow down much; the Lions are just a little more versatile with their weapons to believe they will rebound at home.  Pick: Lions win 27-24 and cover the spread.):   https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/news/nfl-picks-predictions-against-spread-week-2/lypsy1rxjwfscgmdko1wcghd

Biglead (LIONS (-1.5) over COMMANDERS:  Say what you want about Detroit — and we certainly do — but they cover with tremendous regularity. There's no reason to do anything but continue riding them to sweet, sweet cash every Sunday in the early window. Carson Wentz comes back to reality and once again fails to match the production of one Jalen Hurts. Lions 28, Commanders 20):  https://www.thebiglead.com/posts/nfl-week-2-predictions-picks-spread-lines-01gcryjzxn10

Walter football (Week 2 NFL Pick:  Lions 34, Redskins 27):  https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2022_02early.php

AP Maaddi (Washington (plus 1 1/2) at Detroit:  The Lions nearly overcame a 17-point deficit in the fourth quarter against Philadelphia. They should fare better against the Commanders and former Eagles quarterback Carson Wentz.  LIONS, 26-24):  https://pro32.ap.org/article/pro-picks-aims-rebound-following-rough-start-week-1

O'HARA'S WEEK 2 PREVIEW: DL coach not worried about Hutchinson after quiet debut (My pick, Commanders at Lions: It's too early to call it a must-win game, so "better not lose" might be the best way to describe the urgency to win for the Lions. They need to build faith in what they're doing and the only way to do that is by winning.  The offense will carry its share of the burden. The defense has to pick it up.  Lions 31, Commanders 26.):  https://www.detroitlions.com/news/o-hara-s-week-2-preview-dl-coach-not-worried-about-hutchinson-after-quiet-debut


NFL RealGM (Washington Commanders at Detroit Lions (-1.5): This is the first time the Lions have been favored in a game since Week 11 of the 2020 season. It’s the first time Detroit is favored against a team with a winning record since Week 7 of the 2018 season. Lions fans are hoping the game comes closer to that one, a road win over the Dolphins, than the more recent one. The Lions got blanked 20-0 by Carolina behind backup QB P.J. Walker in the last game they were favored.  As long as QB Jared Goff doesn’t give the game away, the Lions offense should be able to outscore Antonio Gibson, Terry McLaurin and the visiting Commanders.   Lions 31, Commanders 28):  https://football.realgm.com/analysis/3475/Football-Meteorology-For-2022-NFL-Week-2


Five things to watch as Lions face Commanders; plus prediction (PREDICTION: Lions 27, Commanders 21. The Lions know this is a big home game against a beatable opponent.):  https://lionslowdown.com/2022/09/17/five-things-to-watch-as-lions-face-commanders-plus-prediction/


SI All Lions (3 pick the Lions to win 27-24, 35-21, 28-27.  1 picks the Commanders to win 28-27):  https://www.si.com/nfl/lions/news/predictions-commanders-lions

USA Today (5 pick the Lions to win by scores of 21-20, 27-23, 27-24, 31-28, 24-20.  2 pick the Commanders to win by scores of 23-20, 27-25):  https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl-picks/2022/09/15/nfl-picks-week-2-2022-spreads-locks-buccaneers-saints/10390544002/

Commanders vs. Lions preview | Week 2 (6 pick the Lions to win by scores of 28-27, 26-23, 27-21, 24-16, 24-22, 35-25. 4 pick the Commanders to win by scores of 24-21, 21-17, 27-25, 23-17):  https://www.nfl.com/videos/commanders-vs-lions-preview-week-2

Washington Commanders vs. Detroit Lions: Prediction, matchups, how to watch, and more (Adam Beasley’s Prediction - Lions 24, Commanders 17; Dalton Miller’s Prediction - Lions 34, Commanders 31; Dallas Robinson’s Prediction - Commanders 20, Lions 17):  https://www.profootballnetwork.com/washington-commanders-vs-detroit-lions-prediction-matchups-how-to-watch-and-more/

PFT (Commanders (+2) at Lions - MDS’s take: The Lions are favored for the first time in more than a year, but I like Carson Wentz to outplay Jared Goff and the Commanders to pull the road upset.  MDS’s pick: Commanders 21, Lions 20.  Florio’s take: The top two picks from 2016 get together, with the first pick on his second team and the second on his third. This is a toss up at best. Given that the Lions don’t have many obvious opportunities to win this season, I’ll take them in a close one.  Florio’s pick: Lions 23, Commanders 20.):  https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2022/09/15/pfts-week-2-2022-nfl-picks/

What to know for NFL Week 2: Score picks, bold predictions, fantasy tips, key stats for all 15 games (Moody's pick: Commanders 27, Lions 24, Walder's pick: Lions 30, Commanders 24):  https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/34596734/nfl-week-2-game-picks-schedule-guide-fantasy-football-tips-odds-injuries-stats-know-more

CBS Breech (Washington (1-0) at Detroit (0-1):  If you would have asked me last week to rank the best games of Week 2, this one wouldn't have even been in my top 14, which is saying a lot when you consider the fact that there are only 16 games on the schedule. However, I am now oddly intrigued by this matchup after watching Carson Wentz time warp back to 2017 and play like he did during his best season as a pro. If you didn't get to watch Wentz in Week 1 -- and there's a 95 percent chance you didn't because Commanders-Jaguars only gets aired in like 1.3% of the country -- Wentz threw four touchdown passes in a 28-22 win over Jacksonville. Sure, he also threw two interceptions, but instead of melting down after those picks, which is what we've come to expect from him, he bounced back to throw two touchdown passes in the fourth quarter.  The Commanders actually impressed me in Week 1, which is weird, because I never thought I'd use the words "Impressed" and 'Washington" in the same sentence. The only thing about the Commanders that didn't impress me over the weekend was their geographical knowledge.  If anyone has a geography test coming up at any point in the near future, please keep in mind that Washington state and Washington D.C. have about as much in common as a cell phone and a hamster.  Anyway, no one cares about hamsters, so let's get to my pick for the game. My general rule of thumb when trying to pick the winner in a Lions game is to always pick against the Lions and that's mostly because every time they play, it seems like they fall behind by nine touchdowns before engineering a wild comeback that eventually comes up short. In the end, they lose the game, but cover the spread and no one goes home happy. Players hate the loss, bettors hate that they lost money and Lions fans hate themselves for their continual support of the Lions.  This formula is exactly what happened in Week 1 against the Eagles. The Lions were getting blown out 38-21 late in the game before miraculously scoring two touchdowns in the fourth quarter to cover the spread.   I think Iain speaks for everyone. The moral of the story is never bet on the Lions, but also never bet against them, because if you do, there's a 100% chance they'll get a backdoor cover and you'll lose all your money.  Fortunately for bettors, the Lions are favored this week, which means the only way they can cover is if they win the game and I don't think they're going to win the game. I hate predicting a big game from Wentz, but I'm going to do it. I think the Lions secondary is going to struggle to cover all of the Commanders receiving weapons, which is going to pave the way for a Washington win.   The pick: Commanders 27-24 over Lions):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-2-picks-chiefs-win-thriller-over-chargers-tom-brady-ends-saints-curse-vikings-upset-eagles/

SN Bender (Washington Commanders at Detroit Lions (-1.5):  The Commanders are underdogs on the road despite a promising debut from Carson Wentz, who threw four TDs against the Jaguars. The Lions showed fight after digging a huge hole against the Eagles, and this is a must-win game of sorts for Dan Campbell in the early season. A last-second field goal either way.  Pick: Commanders 24, Lions 21):  https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/news/nfl-picks-predictions-week-2/yo0nbkjldq6xi5jkyn8lrmid

CBS Prisco (Washington Commanders at Detroit Lions (-2.5):  The Commanders are coming off a home victory over the Jaguars where Carson Wentz drove them to the game-winning score late. The Lions looked good on offense against the Eagles, but the defense was terrible. This could end up being a shootout. Washington is the better team, and I think that will show up. Commanders take it.   Pick: Commanders 31, Lions 27):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/priscos-nfl-week-2-picks-saints-knock-off-tom-brady-again-chiefs-outlast-chargers-in-afc-west-shootout/

Fox sports (Washington Commanders at Detroit Lions (1 p.m. ET, FOX) - Overview: The Carson Wentz roller coaster was going at full speed in Week 1 (4 touchdowns, 2 interceptions), but there was far more good than bad for the Commanders. They seem loaded with offensive weapons, with a healthy Curtis Samuel (8-55-1) and rookie Jahan Dotson (3-40-2) added to a group that includes WR Terry McLaurin, TE Logan Thomas and RB Antonio Gibson.  The Lions' pass rush was erratic against the Eagles last week, but Philly has one of the best offensive lines in football. Washington doesn't. If Detroit can't get to Wentz, he could be set up for another big day. And that's a problem because other than RB D’Andre Swift (15 carries, 144 yards, 1 TD), the Lions' offense didn't click in Week 1, even though the Eagles' defense wasn't good at all.  Matchup to watch: Lions CB Jeff Okudah vs. Commanders WR Terry McLaurin.  Last week the Lions primarily used Okudah on Eagles WR DeVonta Smith, who had zero catches. Of course, that allowed A.J. Brown to go off for 10 catches and 155 yards. Presumably, given how well Okudah played Smith, the Lions will put the former first-rounder on McLaurin in this game since he's still Washington’s best receiver. But Okudah had better get help, because Samuel and Dotson proved to be dangerous, too.  Key stat: Wentz threw four passing TDs last week for the first time since 2017. That helped him overcome his two interceptions, but the whole performance (27-for-41, 313 yards) was good for Wentz and Washington. The Commanders are banking everything on him this season, and he certainly has plenty of weapons around him. They needed him to get off to a hot start.  Prediction: The Lions are favored for the first time in nearly two years, fresh off their stronger-than-expected showing against the Eagles. But that game was close because of a terrible tackling performance by the Eagles defense. If the Commanders follow suit, then sure, Swift could carry the Lions to victory. But this Washington team is a lot like the Eagles, in that it has a diverse offense and a strong (for now) quarterback. The Lions’ defense is too inconsistent and their offense is too one-dimensional for them to do more than keep games close for now. Commanders 29, Lions 20 — Ralph Vacchiano):  https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/nfl-week-2-preview-schedule-analysis-matchups-and-picks-for-every-game

Week 2 NFL game picks: Chiefs stave off Chargers; Buccaneers edge past Saints (Washington Commanders win 30-27:  Antonio Gibson is running hard as hell again. Terry McLaurin suddenly has two running partners with a lot of talent. Commanders offensive coordinator Scott Turner was in his bag last week, with the versatility of Gibson and receiver Curtis Samuel making pre-snap life tricky for the opposition. The Lions are only going to get better, but I’m worried their defense remains undercooked in terms of generating consistent pressure or staying disciplined.):  https://www.nfl.com/news/week-2-nfl-game-picks-2022-nfl-season

CBS Brinson (Ye Olde WFT at Lions:  Points, points, points in this game. Carson Wentz and the downfield passing game for Washington look explosive. Detroit will not quit and will keep trying to score until the whistle blows. Washington looks better than most people thought. Detroit was getting toasted before they closed the gap against Philly last week.   The Pick: Washington 34, Lions 31):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2022-nfl-week-2-picks-against-the-spread-patriots-bounce-back-vs-steelers-packers-roll-bears/

CBS Dajani (Washington Commanders at Detroit Lions:  It has finally happened. For the first time in 24 games, the Lions are favored. Do they deserve it though? Detroit lost to Philly in Week 1 by three points, as a 14-0 run in the fourth quarter allowed the Lions to cover the spread. D'Andre Swift looked incredible, as he racked up 175 yards from scrimmage, but the defense struggled to contain Jalen Hurts and Co.   This Washington offense looked refreshed in Week 1. The Jacksonville Jaguars don't have an elite defense, but I mean, Carson Wentz has weapons to work with. Antonio Gibson racked up 130 yards from scrimmage, Terry McLaurin caught a touchdown, Curtis Samuel caught a touchdown and then the rookie wideout Jahan Dotson caught two touchdowns in his NFL debut. The Lions struggled to contain A.J. Brown last week, who caught 10 passes for 155 yards. How will this unit handle multiple wide receivers who can make an impact on offense? I expect plenty of points in this matchup, but I like Washington to win.   Projected score: Washington 33-30):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-2-picks-odds-best-bets-saints-upset-tom-bradys-buccaneers-bengals-maul-cowboys/

Game Theory: Week 2 win probabilities and score projections for the '22 season (Washington wins 27-26):  https://www.nfl.com/videos/game-theory-week-2-win-probabilities-and-score-projections-for-the-22-season

Washington Commanders at Detroit Lions: Predictions, picks and odds for NFL Week 2 matchup
Richard Morin  (Lance Pugmire: Commanders 24, Lions 21:  Following a four-touchdown opener, the Carson Wentz acquisition has a chance at a 2-0 start against league weaklings. What's the difference between the Lions and fantasy owners possessing D’Andre Swift (144 yards last week)? The fantasy players can win. ):  https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/2022/09/18/washington-commanders-detroit-lions-predictions-picks-nfl-week-2/10360610002/

Non-Score Picks:

Athlon sports (All 4 pick the Lions to win):  https://athlonsports.com/nfl/nfl-week-2-picks-predictions-2022

NFL Week 2 Picks From the in SI MMQB Staff (4 pick the Lions to win and 1 picks the Commanders to win):  https://www.si.com/nfl/2022/09/15/nfl-week-2-staff-expert-picks

CBS (4 pick the Lions to win.  1 picks the Commanders to win):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/picks/experts/straight-up/2/

FTW (2 pick the Lions to win, 1 picks the Commanders to win):  https://ftw.usatoday.com/lists/nfl-picks-week-2-straight-up-moneyline-pool-steelers-chiefs-lions

ESPN Picks (6 pick the Lions to win, 4 pick the Commanders to win):  https://www.espn.com/nfl/picks

Audacity Sports (3 pick the Lions, 2 pick the Commanders to win):  https://www.audacy.com/national/sports/gallery/audacy-sports-2022-nfl-week-2-picks

NFL Expert Picks, Predictions, Lines: Week 2 (7 pick the Lions to win, 7 pick the Commanders to win):  https://collegefootballnews.com/2022/09/nfl-expert-picks-predictions-lines-week-2-2022/3

61 pick the Lions to win.  35 picks the Commanders to win.  Average Predicted Score (1341-1251/51):  Lions 26 Commanders 25.

Note:  I still have more to add.

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