Saturday, October 8, 2022

Week 5 Predictions

SN Bender (Detroit Lions at New England Patriots (-3):  The Patriots have quarterback issues, and it's possible Bailey Zappe could get his first start against the Lions, who have the top-scoring offense and worst-scoring defense in the league. Only in Detroit, right? It's difficult to trust the Lions as an underdog, and if it's close you're trusting Dan Campbell over Bill Belichick. The Lions break through in a close game.  Lions 30, Patriots 26):  https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/news/nfl-picks-predictions-week-5/e7xzjrs82ksvgpet90hoaldq

Biglead (LIONS (+3) over PATRIOTS:  We just can't quit the Lions. The Patriots put up a great fight against Aaron Rodgers at Lambeau Field, probably fired up by the "us against the world" mentality that Bill Belichick has put to good use for so long. Such motivation does not exist for a home game against the Lions. Who have been extremely competitive and dominant on the ground. New England's issues at linebacker will be glaring once more and Jared Goff will put up a fight even if he's missing a few key skill position guys again. Lions 27, Patriots 24):  https://www.thebiglead.com/posts/nfl-week-5-predictions-picks-spread-lines-01geezvbnxwy

Walter football (Week 5 NFL Pick: Lions 26, Patriots 23):  https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2022_05early.php


NFL.com (Lions win 27-24:  Bill Belichick could have stolen the game in Green Bay if the Patriots stuck with the running game late, a mistake they are unlikely to make against a soft, undisciplined Lions unit. If Bailey Zappe starts, I don’t like the Patriots’ chances. If Mac Jones or Brian Hoyer make a surprise return, they would be my pick. Also, the Lions’ skill-position injuries make this tough to pick early in the week, so check back for an update.):  https://www.nfl.com/news/week-5-nfl-game-picks-2022-nfl-season

PFN NFL Week 5 Picks And Predictions: Lock Of The Week, Upset Of The Week And Scores For Every Game (Predictions: Beasley: Lions 23, Patriots 22; Miller: Lions 30, Patriots 24; Robinson: Lions 27, Patriots 22):  https://www.profootballnetwork.com/nfl-picks-predictions-lock-upset-scores-week-5-2022/

Final Lions pregame thoughts and a Week 5 prediction (Zappe should be good. Goff and the Lion should be a little better. Lions 33, Patriots 30):  https://lionswire.usatoday.com/2022/10/09/lions-vs-patriots-week-5-prediction-keys/

Week 5 win probabilities, score projections | Game Theory (Lions wins 24-23):  https://www.nfl.com/videos/game-theory-week-5-win-probabilities-and-score-projections-for-the-22-season

Detroit Lions at New England Patriots: Predictions, picks and odds for NFL Week 5 matchup
Richard Morin  (Lance Pugmire: Lions 26, Patriots 20:  Detroit may lack a defense, but does New England have an offense? The Lions have their best chance to take a stand here. And if they don’t, their fast-arriving reputation for staging the week’s most entertaining games strengthens.):  https://www.nfl.com/news/2022-nfl-season-s-early-top-10-defensive-lines-nick-bosa-led-49ers-group-deep-bi

What to know for NFL Week 5: Score picks, bold predictions, fantasy tips, key stats for all 15 games (Moody's pick: Lions 27, Patriots 24, Walder's pick: Lions 31, Patriots 17):  https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/34741966/nfl-week-5-picks-schedule-odds-injuries-stats-fantasy-tips



Five things to watch as the Lions face the Patriots; plus my prediction (Prediction: Lions 31, Patriots 21. Just don’t see the Pats’ defense stopping Goff and his gang.):  https://lionslowdown.com/2022/10/08/five-things-to-watch-as-the-lions-face-the-patriots-plus-my-prediction/


Lions vs. Patriots preview | Week 5 (5 pick the Lions to win by scores of 34-23, 30-23, 28-27, 30-20, 31-21.  5 pick NE to win by scores of 28-27, 34-33,30-29, 25-24, 27-23):  https://www.nfl.com/videos/lions-vs-patriots-preview-week-5

Freep (2 pick the Lions to win by scores of 24-20, 31-28.  2 pick NE to win by scores of 35-32,19-17):  https://www.freep.com/story/sports/nfl/lions/2022/10/09/detroit-lions-predictions-new-england-patriots-matt-patricia-dan-campbell/69548611007/

USA Today (4 pick NE to win by scores of 23-20, 23-21, 24-21, 23-20.  2 pick the Lions to win by scores of 31-30, 31-27):  https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl-picks/2022/10/06/nfl-picks-week-5-spreads-locks-ravens-bengals/8198002001/

SN Iyer (Lock of the Week: Patriots (-3, 46.5 o/u) over Lions - The Patriots' offense will keep things simple against a Lions' defense that can't stop anything, regardless of who starts at quarterback. Expect a heavy dose of Damien Harris and Rhamondre Stevenson at home and for Bill Belichick to have some coverage and pressure tricks in store to cool off Jared Goff. Matt Patricia wants this one badly against the team he used to coach and expect his team to have the smarter, more physical game plan.  Pick: Patriots win 30-20):  https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/news/nfl-picks-predictions-against-spread-week-5/hznqxqtiktdkipmtsv5v21lz


CBS Prisco (Detroit Lions at New England Patriots (-3):  The Lions are scoring a ton, but they can't stop anybody. They might get a break if they face Bailey Zappe at quarterback for the P okatriots. But the way the Lions are playing, it won't matter. The Patriots will still move the football. New England will win a close one.  Pick: Patriots 24, Lions 20):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/priscos-nfl-week-5-picks-bengals-outlast-ravens-in-high-scoring-thriller-jets-upset-tua-less-dolphins/

AP Pro Maaddi (Detroit (plus 3) at New England:  The Patriots (1-3) turned to Zappe because Mac Jones has an ankle injury and Brian Hoyer sustained a concussion. The Lions (1-3) are allowing a league-high 444.8 yards and 35.3 points per game.  PATRIOTS 24-22):  https://pro32.ap.org/article/pro-picks-leans-toward-broncos-kick-week-5

Fox sports NFL Week 5 preview: Schedule, analysis, matchups and picks for every game (Prediction: The Lions get brought back down to earth a little bit thanks to the aforementioned Belichick-led defense and we all get surprised again that Zappe has some zippy.  Patriots 31, Lions 18 —Carmen Vitali):  https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/nfl-week-5-preview-schedule-analysis-matchups-and-picks-for-every-game

O'HARA'S WEEK 5 PREVIEW: What's next for Hockenson after big Week 4 performance? (My pick: The Patriots are favored by three points, which means the oddsmakers think the Lions have their best chance to beat the Patriots on the road since a 19-16 win in 1993.  Bill Belichick is likely to have something ready to counter whatever the Lions do on defense. Patriots 23, Lions 20.):  https://www.detroitlions.com/news/o-hara-s-week-5-preview-what-s-next-for-hockenson-after-big-week-4-performance

CBS Brinson (Lions at Patriots:  Finally a test of the "bet the Lions over until it loses" theory. This total has dropped a point and a half from the open, likely based off the bad matchup for Detroit against the Patriots run defense. It sounds like Bailey Zappe will get the start again, unless Mac Jones can get ready in time for this game. There's a Matt Patricia revenge factor here, I suppose, but maybe the Lions should be the ones looking for that angle. I tend to think the Pats play ball control and Jared Goff's career-long struggles against Bill Belichick rear their ugly head again.   The Pick: Patriots 24, Lions 17):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-5-picks-against-the-spread-browns-hold-off-chargers-charge-rams-ravens-get-back-on-track/

PFT’s Week 5 2022 NFL Picks (Lions (+3) at Patriots - MDS’s take: We don’t know who’s playing quarterback for the Patriots, but any offense should score a lot of points against the terrible Lions defense.  MDS’s pick: Patriots 38, Lions 31.  Florio’s take: Bill Belichick will be able to slow down the Detroit offense, and the Patriots will have enough offense to outscore the Lions — especially with former Detroit coach Matt Patricia anxious to get a crack at his old team.  Florio’s pick: Patriots 34, Lions 20.):  https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2022/10/06/pfts-week-5-2022-nfl-picks/

Patriots.com (Paul Perillo, Patriots.com - Pick: Patriots 27, Lions 23.  Mike Dussault, Patriots.com - Pick: Patriots 28, Lions 17, Evan Lazar, Patriots.com - Pick: Patriots 27, Lions 24):  https://www.patriots.com/news/judon-seeing-all-red-against-lions

CBS Boston (All 4 pick NE to win by scores of 21-17, 27-17, 35-27, 31-17):  https://www.cbsnews.com/boston/news/patriots-lions-week-5-predictions/

SI All Lions (All 4 pick NE to win by scores of 27-23, 28-21, 27-24, 27-24):  https://www.si.com/nfl/lions/nfl/lions/news/predictions-lions-patriots

Non-Score Predictions:


SI (4 pick the Lions to win, 1 picks NE to win):  https://www.si.com/nfl/2022/10/06/nfl-week-5-staff-expert-picks

Athlon sports (3 pick the Lions to win, 1 picks NE to win):  https://athlonsports.com/nfl/nfl-week-5-picks-predictions-2022


CBS (2 pick the Lions to win, 3 pick NE to win):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/picks/experts/straight-up/5/

Audacy Sports 2022 NFL Week 5 picks (3 pick NE to win, 2 pick the Lions to win):  https://www.audacy.com/national/sports/gallery/audacy-sports-2022-nfl-week-5-picks

ESPN (4 pick NE to win, 4 pick the Lions to win):  https://www.espn.com/nfl/picks


52 pick the Lions to win.  49 pick NE to win.   Average Predicted Score (1457-1427/56):  NE 26 Lions 25

Note:  I still have a few more to add .
Posted by LionsFan at 3:54 AM

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