Tuesday, November 7, 2023

Week 10 Predictions

SN Iyer (Lions (-1.5, 48.5 o/u) at Chargers: The Lions will have their offense at full strength after a bye around Jared Goff and Amon-Ra St. Brown. They also should have a good traveling crowd in their favor to cheer on their NFC powerhouse push. They will regroup vs. the run and be ready to chase Justin Herbert as L.A. gets too one-dimensional with limited weapons under former Lions QB Kellen Moore. The Chargers' pass rush will be held in check while St. Brown goes off to lead a big scoring charge.  Pick: Lions win 31-24 and cover the spread.):  https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/news/nfl-picks-predictions-against-spread-week-10/206162f574f59a837390d7eb

SN Bender (Detroit Lions (-1.5) at Los Angeles Chargers:  The Lions had a bye week to prepare for a West Coast road trip. Detroit is 3-1 S/U on the road this season and has flexed a large following in those games. Jared Goff’s passer rating drops to 88.0 on the road this season, so a shootout with Justin Herbert is possible. The Chargers are coming off a short week, and their home losses to the Dolphins and Cowboys were by a combined total of five points. Dan Campbell and Brandon Staley let it hang out here.  Pick: Lions 33, Chargers 30):  https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/news/nfl-picks-predictions-week-10/6b1955564b83ad87d626994c

Biglead (LIONS (-2) over CHARGERS:  Dan Campbell's banged-up team really needed that bye week to rest up to tackle one of the very few real road tests standing between them and some serious homefield advantage. Meanwhile, the Chargers had to play last night and fly across the country and prepare for a very dangerous offensive attack. SoFi should look and sound like Ford Field with different branding and Jared Goff will put on a show for Jim Nantz and Tony Romo. Lions 33, Chargers 20):  https://www.thebiglead.com/posts/nfl-week-10-picks-predictions-against-the-spread-best-bets-01hejnypmrjd


Walter football (Week 10 NFL Pick: Lions 26, Chargers 20):  https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2023_10late.php

CBS Sullivan (Lions at Chargers:  The Lions were on the bye in Week 9 and now travel to L.A. to face a Chargers team that is playing on a short week after going against the Jets on Monday night. That's quite the rest advantage for Detroit. While L.A. was able to get the win last week, the offense is still a bit clunky at times and could face similar problems against the Lions unit that is extremely stout on third down. On the critical down, Dan Campbell's team is allowing opposing clubs to move the chains just 32.6% of the time (second-best in the NFL). The Lions are also pressuring quarterbacks at the fourth-best rate in the league so far this season and should be able to give Justin Herbert fits. Meanwhile, Jared Goff shouldn't have too tough of sledding against a Chargers defense that is ranked the worst in the league, giving up 286 yards per game through the air. Everything is pointing to the Lions.  Projected score: Lions 27, Chargers 23):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-10-odds-picks-kyler-murray-leads-cardinals-to-win-in-return-bills-bounce-back-in-prime-time/

Pro Picks Maaddi (DETROIT at LOS ANGELES CHARGERS - Line: Lions minus 2 1/2.  The Lions (6-2) are coming off a bye while the Chargers (4-4) have a short week after a Monday night road win against the Jets. Detroit is 4-1 against the spread when favored by at least 2 1/2 points.  LIONS, 30-26):  https://apnews.com/article/nfl-pro-picks-week-10-66713d76dce6e28d04bed0bb5c941982

O'HARA'S WEEK 10 PREVIEW: Lions look to keep rolling as they return from bye (Lions-Chargers prediction:
The Lions aren't perfect, but have shown they can beat anybody anywhere. They're getting some injured players back. That's a good start to the rest of the regular season.  The Lions are favored by 2.5.  My pick: Lions 30, Chargers 17.):  https://www.detroitlions.com/news/o-hara-s-week-10-preview-lions-look-to-keep-rolling-as-they-return-from-bye

Yardbarker (Lions vs. Chargers:  The Detroit Lions are coming off their bye, and they’ve been a rock-solid football team this year. That said, they are 1-2 against teams with winning records and beat the Kansas City Chiefs by one point. Kansas City was without Chris Jones and Travis Kelce in that matchup. The Lions’ offense has been good but not quite great this season. Detroit’s defense has been the better unit to this point.  Few teams have a premium quarterback like Justin Herbert with a high-end pass rush like the Los Angeles Chargers. Los Angeles also has a high-quality offensive line with difference makers in Keenan Allen and Austin Ekeler. The Chargers’ offense has consistently underachieved since losing Mike Williams in Week 3. Defensively, every position group has shredded the Chargers through the air. Sam LaPorta, Amon-Ra St. Brown and Detroit’s running backs all have plus matchups in this contest.  Score Prediction: Lions 24, Chargers 23):  https://www.yardbarker.com/nfl/articles/nfl_week_10_expert_picks_predictions_for_every_game/s1_17304_39509555

CBS Dajani (Detroit Lions (-3) at Los Angeles Chargers:  I know Justin Herbert's injury is on his non-throwing hand, but I feel as though he hasn't looked like himself over the past few weeks. He threw for a career-low 136 yards vs. the New York Jets Monday night, and is averaging a career-low 253.3 passing yards per game this season. Defensively, the Chargers allow the third-most yards per game (375.8), and statistically have the worst pass defense in the league (286.0 yards allowed per game).  I wish I got this line when it was DET -1.5, but I will still take it at DET -3. I have questions about the Lions as legitimate contenders, but Jahmyr Gibbs finally had his breakout game last time out, David Montgomery appears ready to return to the lineup, Sam LaPorta is the best rookie tight end we've seen in some time and Aidan Hutchinson is having quite a season on the defensive side.  Detroit is coming off its bye while L.A. is on a short week. The Lions are 6-2 against the spread this season, which is tied for the best ATS mark. In fact, Dan Campbell is 29-13 ATS since taking over as lead man of the Lions, which is the best ATS record in the NFL over that span.  The pick: Lions -3.  Projected score: Lions 28-20):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-10-picks-odds-best-bets-49ers-get-back-on-track-vs-jaguars-cowboys-cover-large-number-vs-giants/

NFL.com Week 10 NFL picks: Bears top Panthers on Thursday night; 49ers get back on track, while Bengals stay hot (Lions 27-23, Lions 26-23, Lions 29-23, Lions 28-19, Lions 27-22):  https://www.nfl.com/news/week-10-nfl-picks-2023-nfl-season

PFT’s Week 10 2023 NFL picks, Florio vs. Simms (Lions (-3) at Chargers:  The Lions know the No. 1 seed is within their grasp.  Florio: Lions, 27-23.  Simms: Lions, 28-20.):  https://www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootballtalk/rumor-mill/news/pfts-week-10-2023-nfl-picks-florio-vs-simms

What to know for NFL Week 10: Score picks, bold predictions, fantasy tips, key stats for every game (Moody's pick: Lions 35, Chargers 30.  Walder's pick: Lions 34, Chargers 27):  https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/38856815/nfl-week-10-picks-schedule-fantasy-football-odds-injuries-stats-2023

Pittsburgh Gazette Gerry Dulac's 2023 NFL picks: Week 10 (Detroit Lions (6-2) at Los Angeles Chargers (4-4), 4:05 p.m. – Three of the Chargers’ four victories are against teams with a losing record. Three of their four losses are against teams with a winning record. The Lions have won five of their past six games. The only loss was in Baltimore.  Prediction: Lions, 27-24):  https://www.post-gazette.com/sports/2023/11/09/gerry-dulac-nfl-week-10-picks-predictions-tnf-mnf-snf/stories/202311070148

Final-score predictions for Lions-Chargers in Week 10 | 'NFL GameDay View' (All 3 pick the Lions to win by scores of 24-20, 21-17, 27-24):  https://www.nfl.com/videos/final-score-predictions-for-lions-chargers-in-week-10-nfl-gameday-view

Five things to watch as the Lions face the Chargers; plus prediction (PREDICTION: Lions 28, Chargers 24):  https://lionslowdown.com/2023/11/11/five-things-to-watch-as-the-lions-face-the-chargers-plus-prediction/

Sport book wire (Prediction

USA Today Lions at Chargers: Predictions, picks and odds for NFL Week 10 game (4 pick the Lions to win by scores of 26-20, 34-28, 28-24, 34-30.  1 picks the Chargers to win 27-26):  https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/2023/11/08/detroit-lions-los-angeles-chargers-predictions-picks-odds-week-10/71427086007/

USA Today (3 pick the Lions to win by scores of 29-25, 30-24, 31-24.  1 picks the Chargers to win 30-28):  https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl-picks/2023/11/09/nfl-picks-predictions-spread-niners-jaguars-week-10/71513899007/

NFL.com Lions vs. Chargers preview | Week 10 (7 pick the Lions to win by scores of 24-17, 23-14, 34-27, 26-20, 31-20, 27-17, 24-16.  3 pick the Chargers to win by scores of 28-27, 34-33, 28-27):  https://www.nfl.com/videos/lions-vs-chargers-preview-week-10

Athlonsports (Lions 34-24, Chargers 28-24, Chargers 30-28):  https://athlonsports.com/nfl/week-10-nfl-picks-predictions-49ers-jaguars-cowboys-giants

Freep (2 pick the Lions to win by scores of 31-23, 28-23.  2 pick the Chargers to win by scores of 28-27, 29-26):  https://www.freep.com/story/sports/nfl/lions/2023/11/12/detroit-lions-predictions-los-angeles-chargers-justin-herbert-jared-goff-dan-campbell/71547544007/

CBS Prisco (Detroit Lions at Los Angeles Chargers (+2.5):  The Lions are coming off a bye, while the Chargers are playing on a short week after beating the Jets on Monday night. The Chargers offense has been struggling as of late, which is a concern. But I think at home they will find a way to beat the Lions in this one as Justin Herbert gets it going.  Pick: Chargers 27, Lions 24):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/priscos-week-10-nfl-picks-jaguars-hand-49ers-another-loss-bengals-cool-off-c-j-stroud-ravens-keep-rolling/

Non-Score Predictions:

Sports Illustrated - NFL Week 10 Straight Up Picks + Odds & Spreads for All 14 Games (The Lions are picked to win):  https://www.si.com/betting/2023/11/08/nfl-week-10-straight-up-picks-odds-spreads-for-all-14-games



Athletic (10 pick the Lions to win.  2 pick the Chargers to win):  https://theathletic.com/5048688/2023/11/12/lions-vs-chargers-line-odds-predictions/

PFN (4 pick the Lions to win.  1 picks the Chargers to win):  https://www.profootballnetwork.com/nfl-week-10-pfn-predictions-2023/

SI (5 pick the Lions to win.  2 pick the Chargers to win):  https://www.si.com/nfl/2023/11/09/week-10-staff-expert-picks

ESPN (6 pick the Lions to win.  3 pick the Chargers to win.):  https://www.espn.com/nfl/picks


87 pick the Lions to win.  23 picks the Chargers to win.  The Average Predicted Score is (1468-1127/52):  Lions 28 Chargers 22

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