Wednesday, September 24, 2025

Week 4 Picks

SN Bender (Cleveland Browns at Detroit Lions (-8.5) Sunday, 1 p.m., Fox.  The Browns are riding high with a nasty defense that showed out against the Packers. The Lions are a different story at home. Look for Dan Campbell to stay aggressive in the passing game with Jared Goff, who had five TD passes at home in Week 2. Detroit's defense will have to slow Quinshon Judkins, who had 18 carries for 94 yards in Week 3.   Pick: Lions 27, Browns 14):  https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/news/nfl-picks-predictions-week-4/1e36ed5c1a640b97027870d7

SN Iyer (Browns at Lions (-8.5, 45.5 o/u) Sunday 1 p.m. ET, Fox.  The Lions play their best offense at home. The Browns play their best defense at home. Nothing needs to give here with Detroit rocking Cleveland with explosive pass plays and stopping the run.  Pick: Lions win 27-14 and cover the spread.):  https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/news/nfl-picks-predictions-week-4/1e36ed5c1a640b97027870d7

Walter football (Week 4 NFL Pick: Lions 24, Browns 17):  https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2025_04early.php

CBS Prisco (Cleveland Browns (+8.5) at Detroit Lions:  The Lions are riding high after blowing out the Ravens on Monday night. They were dominant on offense and the defense got after Lamar Jackson. On a short week playing this Browns defense won't be easy. Cleveland is the top-ranked defense in the league. That will be in play here as they keep the game close. Pick: Lions 23, Browns 17):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/priscos-week-4-nfl-picks-buccaneers-eagles-chiefs-ravens-packers-cowboys/

NFL.com (All 10 pick the Lions to win by scores of 24-20, 27-7, 31-14, 20-13, 24-13, 27-16, 20-10, 20-15, 27-16, 20-13):  https://www.detroitlions.com/video/lions-vs-browns-week-4-preview

Pro Picks: Micah Parsons and the Packers will beat Dak Prescott and the Cowboys convincingly (Cleveland (1-2) at Detroit (2-1) - Line: Lions minus 9 1/2.  Myles Garrett and a tough defense will keep the Browns in games. The Lions didn’t need much time to adjust to new coordinators. Their offense and defense are clicking. Both teams are 2-1 ATS this season. The Lions have to avoid a letdown on a short week after a huge road win.  LIONS: 24-13):  https://apnews.com/article/parsons-prescott-cowboys-packers-jones-328d08ff217bfa8a1dbe03a1eb3b2f39

USA Today (All 6 pick the Lions to win by scores of 24-16, 27-13, 22-12, 27-16, 26-14, 24-13):  https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl-picks/2025/09/25/nfl-week-4-picks-spread-predictions-locks-cowboys-packers/86339695007/

CBS Sullivan (Browns at Lions - Projected score: Lions 30, Browns 16):   https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-4-picks-ravens-chiefs-chargers-jaxson-dart/

PFT’s Week 4 2025 NFL picks: Florio vs. Simms (Browns at Lions (-10) - The Lions are still the Lions, and the Browns lack the offensive punch to keep pace.  Florio’s pick: Lions 35, Browns 6.  Simms’s pick: Lions 28, Browns 13.):..https://www.nbcsports.com/nfl/profootballtalk/rumor-mill/news/pfts-week-4-2025-nfl-picks-florio-vs-simms

NFL Week 4 picks: Seahawks-Cardinals prediction unanimous; Vikings top Steelers in Dublin (Lions 26-17, Lions 30-16, Lions 26-18, Lions 28-17, Lions 26-17):  https://www.nfl.com/news/nfl-picks-week-4-2025-nfl-season

Our guide to every Week 4 NFL game: Matchup previews, predictions, picks and nuggets (Maldonado's pick: Lions 38, Browns 7.  Moody's pick: Lions 30, Browns 16.  Walder's pick: Lions 24, Browns 13):  https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/46355188/nfl-week-4-picks-predictions-schedule-fantasy-football-odds-injuries-stats-2025


Detroit News (All 4 pick the Lions to win by scores of 34-13, 31-14, 28-20, 27-13):  https://www.detroitnews.com/story/sports/nfl/lions/2025/09/26/predictions-detroit-lions-vs-cleveland-browns/86314364007/


Browns vs. Lions Final Score Prediction for NFL Week 4 (Bet on Detroit to Cover) (Browns vs. Lions Final Score Prediction - Earlier this week, SI’s NFL betting insider Iain MacMillan shared his favorite bet for this game in his Road to 272 column, and he’s taking the Lions to cover: The Cleveland Browns have managed to hang on against two of their three opponents in terms of covering the spread, but I still think they're one of the worst teams in the league. Their offense is atrocious, ranking 29th in success rate and 30th in EPA per play. They're going to have to do better than that to keep up with the elite Lions offense, especially with the Browns playing on the road.  I think Detroit runs away with this one in impressive fashion.  The Cleveland defense has been impressive this season, but this a brutal matchup on the road against a Detroit team that is No. 2 in EPA/Play on offense.  On top of that, the Detroit defense is No. 1 in EPA/Rush, which could make things tough on Joe Flacco and company moving the ball. The Cleveland passing game has been shaky, and the lone bright spot was last week’s showing from rookie running back Quinshon Judkins (18 carries, 94 yards).   I’ll back Detroit to win big at home.  Final Score Prediction: Lions 27, Browns 13):  https://www.si.com/betting/browns-vs-lions-final-score-prediction-for-nfl-week-4-bet-on-detroit-to-cover

Lions-Browns Week 4 score predictions from MLive's beat writers (24-7, 28-14, 31-10):  https://www.mlive.com/lions/2025/09/lions-browns-week-4-score-predictions-from-mlives-beat-writers.html


CBS Breech (Browns (1-2) at Lions (2-1) - I never thought I would write this about the Cleveland Browns, but they might be the most underrated team in the NFL. Look, I know we all love to laugh about the Browns, and for the first two weeks of the season, they made it easy, but this team is for real.  The Browns have held all three of their opponents under 250 yards this year, which doesn't seem possible when you consider that they've faced the Bengals (with Joe Burrow), the Ravens and the Packers. The defense is so good that if the Browns can just get somewhat competent play from their offense and special teams, they could pull off a lot of surprise wins this year. Let's check out the stats:   Week 1: The Browns more than doubled the Bengals' yardage output (327-141), but they lost because their kicker missed a field goal and an extra point in the fourth quarter.  Week 2: Yes the Browns got smoked 41-17 by the Ravens, but don't blame the defense. The Browns held Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry to a combined 36 rushing yards, marking the first time the duo had ever been held under 100. I repeat: No one had EVER held Jackson and Henry under 100 combined rushing yards and the Browns held them under 40. The Browns also outgained the Ravens 323-242, but they couldn't get out of their own way on offense or on special teams: There was an interception, a lost fumble and they gave up a blocked punt. The Ravens had three scoring drives of less than 25 yards. Week 3: The Browns held the Packers to just 230 yards and they still almost lost to Green Bay because the offense was non-existent for three and a half quarters. But then Joe Flacco came alive to engineer three scoring drives in the final 10 minutes and unlike Week 1, Andre Szmyt actually came through with a game-winning field goal.  The Browns have faced three very good offenses, but the defense hasn't blinked: They've given up the fewest yards in the NFL, they have the third-most sacks and they're only surrendering 2.3 yards per rushing attempt, which is the best number in the league.  If you can get pressure on Jared Goff, the Lions are going to struggle and we saw that a Week 1 game where the Detroit got dominated by the Packers. If I trusted the Browns' offense (or their special teams) at all I would take Cleveland by DOUBLE DIGITS, but I don't, so I'm going to say the Browns win for the second straight week on a last second field goal. With the Lions coming off a big win over the Ravens on Monday night, this feels like the perfect spot for a letdown.   And before Lions fans get upset about my pick, just remember that I apparently have no idea what I'm doing when it comes to picking games involving NFC North teams this year.  PICK: Browns 20-17 over Lions):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-4-picks-score-predictions-browns-shock-lions-undefeated-eagles-finally-lose/

Non-Score Predictions:

ESPN (All 11 pick the Lions to win):  https://www.espn.com/nfl/picks



63 pick the Lions to win.  1 picks the Browns to win.  Average Predicted Score (1150-602/43):  Lions 27 Browns 14.

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