Saturday, January 7, 2023

Week 18 Predictions

O'HARA'S WEEK 18 PREVIEW: Lions treating Sunday Night Football matchup like a playoff game (My pick: Lions 30, Packers 20.):  https://www.detroitlions.com/news/o-hara-s-week-18-preview-lions-treating-sunday-night-football-matchup-like-a-pla

NFL.com (Lions win 23-20:  This may be wishcasting. Seeing the subjects of Hard Knocks -- the Team of the Around the NFL Podcast! -- finish off a campaign that started at 1-6 with a win at Lambeau to end Aaron Rodgers' season would be a beautiful feeling of something new. We've seen the Packers rally to the playoffs before, and they may very well do it again, but their defensive struggles against power running teams remain. The Lions' defensive strength is in the pass rush, so will the Packers and Rodgers resist playing hero ball? I want to believe.):  https://www.nfl.com/news/week-18-nfl-game-picks-2022-nfl-season

What to know for NFL Week 18: Score picks, bold predictions, playoff scenarios, key stats for every game (Moody's pick: Lions 31, Packers 26; Walder's pick: Lions 27, Packers 23):  https://www.espn.com/nfl/story/_/id/35377593/nfl-week-18-game-picks-schedule-guide-playoff-clinching-scenarios-odds-injuries-stats-know

Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers: Predictions, picks and odds for NFL Week 18 matchup (Richard Morin - Lions 31, Packers 30:  It's pretty spectacular to see the Packers in a position to make the playoffs after a 4-8 start, and they can complete the journey with a win at home. However, I see Rodgers and Co. falling just short while the fighting Dan Campbells celebrate in Green Bay.):  https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/2023/01/06/detroit-lions-green-bay-packers-predictions-picks-odds-nfl-week-18/10980210002/

Five things to watch as Lions battle Packers in prime time with playoff berth on the line (Prediction: Lions 31, Packers 27. Detroit is playing with confidence and is 3-2 in outdoor games. After a 1-6 start, the Lions want to prove themselves to a prime time audience.):  https://lionslowdown.com/2023/01/07/five-things-to-watch-as-lions-battle-packers-in-prime-time-with-playoff-berth-on-the-line/

Freep 2 pick the Lions to win by scores of 31-25, 31-28.  2 pick GB to win by scores of 28-27, 26-23):  https://www.freep.com/story/sports/nfl/lions/2023/01/07/detroit-lions-game-predictions-green-bay-packers-seattle-seahawks-la-rams/69785237007/

SI All Lions (3 pick GB to win by scores of 27-23, 27-21, 27-23.  1 picks the Lions to win by scores of 24-21):  https://www.si.com/nfl/lions/news/predictions-lions-packers

Lions vs. Packers preview | Week 18 (9 pick GB to win by scores of 24-21, 31-28, 23-20, 26-24, 28-20, 35-31, 28-27, 28-27, 28-27.  1 picks the Lions to win 37-34.):  https://www.nfl.com/videos/lions-vs-packers-preview-week-18

PFN Yates Lions vs. Packers Prediction, Odds, and Picks for Week 18 (Lions vs. Packers Score Prediction - Packers 24, Lions 23):  https://www.profootballnetwork.com/lions-vs-packers-prediction-odds-pick-nfl-betting-week-18-2023/

SN Iyer (NFC Game of the Week: Lions at Packers (-4.5, 48.5 o/u):  The Packers' defense found its groove at home against the Vikings with good pressure and forcing Kirk Cousins into mistakes. Jared Goff is a different QB on the road in the elements against a tricky pass defense that can cover his tight ends well. The Packers' more diverse attack with Aaron Rodgers gets the job done and puts them in playoff position.  Pick: Packers win 27-20 and cover the spread.):  https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/news/nfl-picks-predictions-against-spread-week-18/nosqegr5lultdrffckhdc46y

SN Bender (Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-4.5):  The Packers had a five-game losing streak earlier this season, and that included a loss at Detroit. The Lions are 3-4 S/U on the road, and this would be the ultimate arrival for second-year coach Dan Campbell. The Packers, however, are clicking at the right time and running the football with Aaron Jones and A.J. Dillon. How many times have we seen Aaron Rodgers do this at Lambeau Field – where despite those struggles the Packers are 5-2 S/U this season and 29-6 S/U under Matt LaFleur since 2019.  Pick: Packers 31, Lions 26):  https://www.sportingnews.com/us/ncaa-football/news/nfl-picks-predictions-week-18/qk9nouc928kzn7dhevhgbbht

CBS Breech (Detroit (8-8) at Green Bay (8-8):  We only get one winner-take-all game in Week 18 and the sad thing is that it might not even be winner-take-all because the NFL hates us. The problem with this game is that there's a good chance that one team migght be eliminated before things even kick off on Sunday night.   If the Seahawks beat the Rams at 4:25 p.m. ET, that will eliminate the Lions from playoff contention, which means I have to pick this game not knowing if the Lions are going to have a shot at the postseason. The good news for me is that I don't really care if there's a playoff berth on the line for the Lions and that's because I plan on picking against them no matter what.  The problem for the Lions is that this game is being played in Green Bay and Detroit has a quarterback who tends to:  A. Struggle in road games AND  B. Struggle cold-weather games, and this game will have both of those.  Although Jared Goff has been impressive this year -- he's thrown 29 touchdowns to just seven interceptions -- I should probably point out that 23 of those 29 touchdowns have come at home. In seven road games, Goff has thrown just six touchdowns along with four interceptions and the Lions have gone 3-4.  If you put Goff in cold weather, he's even worse: In six career games where the kickoff temperature was under 35 degrees, Goff has thrown five interceptions compared to just four touchdowns while averaging 227.4 yards per game. However, those numbers are slightly misleading because a lot of that came in garbage time during a 37-23 loss to the Panthers in Week 16 where Goff piled up some big numbers while the Lions were trailing 31-7.   If you take out the garbage time stuff, then Goff has one touchdown and five interceptions in five career games where the kickoff is under 35 degrees. On the other hand, we have Aaron Rodgers, who has a 28-4 career record in December and January regular-season games, including 18-1 with Matt LaFleur. I ignored Rodgers' December/January record last week when I picked him to lose to Minnesota, but I won't be making the same mistake this week.  The pick: Packers 27-24 over Lions.):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/nfl-week-18-picks-steelers-sneak-into-playoffs-titans-shock-jaguars-eagles-destroy-giants/

Walter football (Week 18 NFL Pick: Packers 24, Lions 23):  https://walterfootball.com/nflpicks2022_18late.php

Big lead (PACKERS (-4.5) over LIONS:  It's been a heck of a ride with the Detroit team this year. But if you think the NFL is keeping Aaron Rodgers out of the playoffs, you were born yesterday. Packers 30, Lions 20):  https://www.thebiglead.com/posts/nfl-week-18-predictions-picks-spread-lines-01gnt52bfqqm

CBS Prisco (Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-4.5):  If the Packers win, they are in. It's that simple. The Lions need to win and have Seattle lose. The Packers have won four straight to get into this position. The Lions are coming off an impressive victory over Chicago, but this is a big step up in completion. The Packers are playing well and they will continue that here.   Pick: Packers 31, Lions 24):  https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/priscos-nfl-week-18-picks-packers-jaguars-punch-tickets-to-playoffs-dolphins-also-get-in-behind-backup-qb/

AP Pro Maaddi (Detroit (plus 4 1/2) at Green Bay:  Aaron Rodgers and the Packers (8-8) have climbed from 4-8 to a point where a win clinches a wild-card berth. The Lions (8-8) need a win and loss by Seattle to get in after a 1-6 start.  PACKERS, 27-24): https://pro32.ap.org/article/chiefs-kick-week-18-playing-afcs-no-1-seed


PFN NFL Week 18 Predictions, Picks Including Lock and Upset of the Week (Adam Beasley: Packers 26, Lions 24; Dalton Miller: Packers 24, Lions 20; Dallas Robinson: Packers 29, Lions 26):  https://www.profootballnetwork.com/nfl-predictions-picks-lock-upset-week-18-2022/


Game Theory: Week 18 win probabilities and score projections for the '22 season (GB wins 28-21): https://www.nfl.com/videos/game-theory-week-18-win-probabilities-and-score-projections-for-the-22-season

Lions vs Packers preview and prediction: very different teams, winning their own way (Prediction: I keep using the word ‘predestined' when it comes to this Packers team, and I don't think that stops now. Everything they've needed to go their way, has gone their way, like they're all repeating positive-energy TikTok affirmations. It's hard not to believe that sort of voodoo (we know Aaron Rodgers does) when you look at the teams that have all lost to get the Packers in control of their playoff hopes. It's too perfect a story to end here but I do think it ends in some sort of wild finish as the Lions give them everything they've got in their own must-win game.  Packers 31, Lions 30):  https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/lions-packers-game-features-very-different-teams-winning-in-their-own-way

PFT’s NFL Week 18 2022 Picks (Lions (+4.5) at Packers - MDS’s take: The Packers need to win to get into the playoffs. They’ll do it.  MDS’s pick: Packers 35, Lions 28.  Florio’s take: The Packers will be dangerous as a nothing-to-lose, no-pressure seventh seed. First, they have to withstand the everything-to-lose proposition of a win-and-in finale.  Florio’s pick: Packers 27, Lions 23.):  https://profootballtalk.nbcsports.com/2023/01/06/pfts-nfl-week-18-2022-picks/

Football Meteorology For NFL Week 18 (Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers (-4.5): It took to the very last game of the regular season before the Detroit Lions featured in a primetime game. Interestingly, it’s a game where the Lions could know they’re eliminated before kickoff; if the Seahawks beat the Rams, the 8-8 Lions are only playing for pride.  I think the big-game experience will play a large role here. Aaron Rodgers and several Packers linemen and defenders have it. The precocious LIons, the NFL’s youngest roster, have almost none. I expect Dan Campbell’s teams to give the Packers hell. I think Green Bay barely survives the hellfire and comes out a playoff team. A Lions win would not surprise me and shouldn’t surprise anyone, however.  Packers 27, Lions 23):  https://football.realgm.com/analysis/3537/Football-Meteorology-For-NFL-Week-18

Packers Wire staff predictions: Week 18 vs. Lions (All 4 pick the Packers to win by scores of 30-27, 27-17, 31-24, 31-17):  https://packerswire.usatoday.com/2023/01/07/packers-wire-staff-predictions-week-18-vs-lions/

USA Today (All 6 pick GB to win by scores of 27-24, 30-23, 27-23, 27-24, 27-25, 34-31):  https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl-picks/2023/01/07/nfl-picks-week-18-spreads-locks-playoffs-byes-packers-lions/11007615002/

Sports book wire Detroit Lions at Green Bay Packers odds, picks and predictions (Prediction - Packers 31, Lions 28):  https://sportsbookwire.usatoday.com/2023/01/07/detroit-lions-at-green-bay-packers-odds-picks-and-predictions/

Athlon Sports Detroit Lions vs. Green Bay Packers Prediction: Final Playoff Spot on the Line for SNF (Prediction: Packers 31, Lions 28):  https://athlonsports.com/nfl/sunday-night-football-detroit-lions-vs-green-bay-packers-prediction-week-18-2023

Non-Score Predictions:

SI (3 pick GB to win.  2 pick the Lions to win):  https://www.si.com/nfl/2023/01/06/nfl-week-18-staff-expert-picks

FTW Straight-up NFL picks, Week 18: Pour one out for the Titans (2 pick GB to win.  1 picks the Lions to win.):  https://ftw.usatoday.com/lists/straight-up-nfl-picks-week-18-pour-one-out-for-the-titans

CFN NFL Expert Picks Predictions Odds Week 18 (10 pick the Packers to win.  3 pick the Lions to win):  https://collegefootballnews.com/2023/01/nfl-expert-picks-predictions-odds-week-18/16

ESPN (6 pick GB to win.  1 picks the Lions to win):  https://www.espn.com/nfl/picks

Athlon Sports NFL Predictions: Week 18 Picks for Every Game (All 4 pick GB to win):  https://athlonsports.com/nfl/nfl-week-18-picks-predictions-2022


70 pick the Packers to win.  17 pick the Lions to win.  The Average Predicted Score is (1499-1359/54):  Packers 28 Lions 25
Posted by LionsFan at 3:47 AM

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